Investment Presentation
Helios Towers Madagascar
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décembre 1, 2025
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Investment Presentation | 45992
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Company Name
Activision Blizzard, Inc.
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
Electronic Arts Inc.
Square Enix Holdings Co., Ltd.
Netmarble Corporation
Ubisoft Entertainment SA
NEXON Co., Ltd.
Market Cap
$41 557,5
$13 466,8
$28 934,4
$5 179,7
$6 864,4
$8 446,5
$11 713,1
Enterprise
Value
$39 849,5
$12 071,5
$24 982,4
$4 130,6
$5 228,6
$8 769,7
$7 011,3
Comps Average
Nintendo Co., Ltd.
$47 269,2
$38 871,3
2017A
21,8x
45,8x
18,8x
10,3x
24,4x
9,6x
9,9x
EV / EBITDA
2018A
13,9x
36,0x
11,9x
11,6x
22,8x
15,9x
7,2x
LTM
16,9x
47,3x
19,7x
12,9x
22,1x
31,8x
6,9x
LTM P / E
24,7x
46,7x
13,9x
33,5x
61,3x
78,1x
12,6x
LTM EBITDA
Margin
33,2%
9,0%
25,2%
12,4%
13,6%
13,3%
41,6%
3-Yr CAGR (2015A-18A)
Revenue
EBITDA
17,2%
20,9%
24,5%
nmf
7,4%
21,8%
9,4%
(9,8%)
25,8%
11,5%
16,6%
(1,3%)
13,5%
15,8%
20,1x
17,0x
22,5x
38,7x
21,2%
16,3%
9,8%
23,9x
10,6x
16,3x
28,5x
21,3%
35,0%
84,2%
Target Name
Acquirer Name
Ubisoft Entertainment SA
Perfect World Co., Ltd.
Webzen Inc.
Ubisoft Entertainment SA
GungHo Online Entertainment, Inc.
Vivendi SA
mars 2019
$484,7
Shenzhen Hengtai Stable Growth Investment Partnershipavr
Enterprise
2018 (Limited
$408,0
Partnership)
Ourpalm Co., Ltd.
juil 2016
$169,0
Vivendi SA
oct 2015
$160,5
SoftBank Mobile Corp. (nka:SoftBank Corp.)
avr 2013
$265,6
Date
Size
Precedents Average
Nintendo Co., Ltd.
EV / EBITDA
14,9x
18,3x
11,8x
45,5x
34,5x
25,0x
$47 269,2
16,3x
Operating Forecast
2020E
2021E
2022E
2023E
2024E
Revenue
Growth
$12 382,1
$13 719,3
10,8%
$15 201,0
10,8%
$16 842,7
10,8%
$18 661,7
10,8%
COGS
Gross Profit
($7 271,1)
$5 110,9
($8 056,4)
$5 662,9
($8 926,5)
$6 274,5
($9 890,6)
$6 952,2
($10 958,7)
$7 703,0
Operating Expenses
EBITDA
Margin
($2 476,4)
$2 634,5
21,3%
($2 743,9)
$2 919,1
21,3%
($3 040,2)
$3 234,3
21,3%
($3 368,5)
$3 583,6
21,3%
($3 732,3)
$3 970,7
21,3%
D&A
EBIT
($102,4)
$2 532,2
($113,4)
$2 805,6
($125,7)
$3 108,6
($139,2)
$3 444,4
($154,3)
$3 816,4
Tax
NOPAT
($754,1)
$1 778,0
($835,6)
$1 970,1
($925,8)
$2 182,8
($1 025,8)
$2 418,6
($1 136,6)
$2 679,8
Capex
Acquisition Spend
Change in NWC
D&A
Unlevered FCF
($102,4)
($14,1)
$102,4
$1 763,9
($113,4)
($15,6)
$113,4
$1 954,4
($125,7)
($17,3)
$125,7
$2 165,5
($139,2)
($19,2)
$139,2
$2 399,4
($154,3)
($21,3)
$154,3
$2 658,5
Revenue
CAGR
Sensitivity
$463,8
9,8%
10,3%
10,8%
11,3%
11,8%
6,5%
$549,1
$557,2
$565,4
$573,8
$582,2
7,0%
$494,6
$501,7
$508,9
$516,2
$523,6
WACC
7,5%
$451,0
$457,4
$463,8
$470,3
$476,9
8,0%
$415,4
$421,1
$426,9
$432,7
$438,6
8,5%
$385,8
$391,0
$396,2
$401,5
$406,8
WACC Build-Up
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
Tax-Shielded Cost of Debt
2,5%
20,6%
2,0%
Risk Free Rate
Historical Market Return
Market Risk Premium
2,2%
7,0%
4,8%
Unlevered Beta of Comps
Cost of Equity
1,1
7,5%
Debt / EV
Equity / EV
WACC
Valuation
WACC
Present Value of Future Cash Flows
100,0%
7,5%
7,5%
$8 727,9
Terminal Year Unlevered FCF (Excl. M&A)
Long-Term Growth Rate
Terminal Value
$2 658,5
2,5%
$54 685,6
Present Value of Terminal Value
$38 121,8
Total Enterprise Value
$46 849,8
Net Debt
Implied Equity Value
($8 397,9)
$55 247,7
Shares Outstanding (millions)
Implied Share Price
119,1
$463,8
Valuation Method
Public Comps (EV / EBITDA)
Public Comps (P / E)
Precedents
DCF
Average
Min
17,5x
30,0x
22,0x
16,7x
21,5x
EV / EBITDA
Median
22,5x
35,4x
25,0x
20,3x
25,8x
Max
27,5x
38,7x
28,0x
24,0x
29,5x
Min
$41 610,3
$41 406,0
$52 310,1
$39 666,6
$43 748,3
EV / EBITDA
Median
$53 499,0
$48 609,6
$59 443,3
$48 346,8
$52 474,7
$700,00
$600,00
$500,00
$400,00
$300,00
$200,00
Public Comps (EV / EBITDA)
Public Comps (P / E)
Precedents
DCF
Max
$65 387,7
$55 813,3
$66 576,5
$57 026,9
$61 201,1
Min
$419,80
$418,08
$368,62
$403,48
$402,50
Share Price
Median
$519,60
$478,55
$428,50
$476,35
$475,75
Max
$619,40
$539,03
$488,39
$549,21
$549,01
First
$419,8
$418,1
$368,6
$403,5
Second
$199,6
$120,9
$119,8
$145,7
Third
$619,4
$539,0
$488,4
$549,2
Midpoint
$519,6
$478,6
$428,5
$476,3
Financial Forecast
Historical Financials
CAGRs
2017A
2018A
2019E
2020E
2021E
2022E
2023E
2024E
'17-'19
'19-'24
10,3%
10,8%
2015A
$4 430,3
Revenue
$9 188,8
$10 900,7
($5 769,5)
$3 419,3
($6 468,2)
$4 432,5
Revenue
YoY Growth
18,6%
$11 175,2
2,5%
$12 382,1
$13 719,3
10,8%
$15 201,0
10,8%
$16 842,7
10,8%
$18 661,7
10,8%
10,8%
Margin
37,2%
40,7%
($1 934,0)
$1 485,3
OpEx Excl. D&A
EBITDA
YoY Growth
Margin
($2 147,3)
$2 285,1
53,8%
21,0%
16,2%
($6 520,5)
$4 654,6
41,7%
($2 276,9)
$2 377,7
4,1%
21,3%
($7 271,1)
$5 110,9
($8 056,4)
$5 662,9
41,3%
($2 476,4)
$2 634,5
($8 926,5)
$6 274,5
41,3%
($9 890,6)
$6 952,2
41,3%
($2 743,9)
$2 919,1
($10 958,7)
$7 703,0
41,3%
($3 040,2)
$3 234,3
($3 368,5)
$3 583,6
41,3%
($3 732,3)
$3 970,7
10,8%
21,3%
10,8%
21,3%
10,8%
21,3%
10,8%
21,3%
10,8%
21,3%
$1 136,7
$3 771,3
$1 259,5
$4 178,6
$1 395,5
$4 629,9
$1 546,3
$5 129,9
$1 713,2
$5 683,9
Margin
Interest Coverage Ratio
Net Debt to EBITDA
30,5%
30,5%
30,5%
30,5%
30,5%
2,6x
4,3x
3,2x
3,4x
4,1x
2,6x
5,5x
1,9x
8,3x
1,1x
Sales by Product
Americas
Japan
Other
Total
2015A
$1 983,4
$1 189,7
$1 257,3
$4 430,3
2016A
$1 392,7
$887,8
$1 059,3
$3 339,8
$10 900,7
$11 175,2
$3 685,8
$3 705,6
2017A
$3 840,4
$2 273,4
$3 075,0
$9 188,8
2018A
$2 412,7
$4 802,2
$3 685,8
$10 900,7
LTM
$3 697,6
$3 772,0
$3 705,6
$11 175,2
2,5%
6,3%
16,7%
10,9%
10,6%
Margin
444bps
(37bps)
EBITDA
$1 871,4
$1 522,3
$3 419,3
$4 432,5
$4 654,6
45,6%
37,2%
40,7%
41,7%
$365,9
$222,2
$1 485,3
$2 285,1
$2 377,7
8,5%
26,5%
10,4%
10,8%
(39,3%)
6,7%
568,3%
16,2%
53,8%
21,0%
4,1%
21,3%
511bps
675bps
-
$591,6
$813,8
$525,6
$2 010,9
$583,6
$2 868,7
$583,6
$2 961,4
24,4%
21,9%
26,3%
26,5%
YoY Growth
Margin
Note: R&D
EBITDA Excl. R&D
$526,9
$892,8
2021E
$46,3
$85,5
$46,3
$178,2
2022E
$51,0
$94,1
$51,0
$196,0
2023E
$55,5
$102,5
$55,5
$213,4
$3 075,0
$1 257,3
$1 189,7
$1 983,4
2015A
$3 772,0
$2 273,4
$3 339,8
$1 059,3
$887,8
$1 392,7
$4 802,2
$3 840,4
2016A
Americas
$3 697,6
$2 412,7
2017A
Japan
2018A
LTM
Other
Industry Size by Segment
Smartphones
Tablet
Console
PC
Total
$54,9
$13,6
$47,9
$35,7
$152,1
Industry Size by Geography
North America
Asia-Pacific
Rest of World
Total
2019E
$39,5
$73,0
$39,5
$152,1
$178,2
$152,1
$164,6
$39,5
$44,4
$46,3
$73,0
$77,4
$85,5
$39,5
2019E
$213,4
$196,0
$55,5
$51,0
$102,5
$94,1
$42,8
$46,3
$51,0
2020E
2021E
2022E
North America
Asia-Pacific
2020E
$42,8
$77,4
$44,4
$164,6
2024E
$60,4
$111,6
$60,4
$232,4
$232,4
$60,4
$111,6
$55,5
$60,4
2023E
2024E
Rest of World
Stock Charts
$500
$450
$400
$350
$300
$250
$200
$150
$100
$50
05/2015
70x
$700
60x
$600
50x
$500
40x
$400
30x
20x
$300
$200
10x
0x
05/2016
Share Price
05/2017
EV / EBITDA
05/2018
05/2019
LT Avg EV / EBITDA
$-
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
LTM
$11 175,2
18,6%
$9 188,8
$4 430,3
2018A
$10 900,7
175,1%
Margin
Note: R&D
EBITDA Excl. R&D
2017A
$9 188,8
(24,6%)
CAGR
26,0%
828bps
Gross Profit
COGS
Gross Profit
2016A
$3 339,8
YoY Growth
2011
2012
Share Price
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
25,6%
59,7%
35,0%