Bibek Yadav

Vehicle Registration Data (Department of Transportation Management) as of 2018 Nepali Year 2074/75 2073/74 2072/73 2071/72 2070/71 2069/70 2068/69 2067/68 2066/67 2065/66 2064/65 2063/64 2062/63 2061/62 2060/61 2059/60 2058/59 2057/58 2056/57 2055/56 2054/55 2053/54 2052/53 2051/52 2050/51 2049/50 2048/49 2047/48 2046/47 Total English Year 2017/18 2016/17 2015/16 2014/15 2013/14 2012/13 2011/12 2010/11 2009/10 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 2005/06 2004/05 2003/04 2002/03 2001/02 2000/01 1999/00 1998/99 1997/98 1996/97 1995/96 1994/95 1993/94 1992/93 1991/92 1990/91 1989/90 Bus- Minibus- Truck/ Mini Truck- Heavy Machinery- Car/Jeep/ Van- Pickup- Micro Bus- 347 351 - 23374 3802 Tempo- Trackter/ Ambulanc C.D/U. power tellor e N- Motorcycle- Fiscal Year Total- Total Till Fiscal Year- Registration Data of Vehicles Categories Under Study Nepali Year 2074/75 2073/74 2072/73 2071/72 2070/71 2069/70 2068/69 2067/68 2066/67 2065/66 2064/65 2063/64 2062/63 2061/62 2060/61 2059/60 2058/59 2057/58 2056/57 2055/56 2054/55 2053/54 2052/53 2051/52 2050/51 2049/50 2048/49 2047/48 2046/47 English Year 2017/18 2016/17 2015/16 2014/15 2013/14 2012/13 2011/12 2010/11 2009/10 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 2005/06 2004/05 2003/04 2002/03 2001/02 2000/01 1999/00 1998/99 1997/98 1996/97 1995/96 1994/95 1993/94 1992/93 1991/92 1990/91 1989/90 Total Cars Petrol Cars- Diesel Cars- Total till Fiscal Year- Total 154433 115053 39380 Forecasting for Number of Registered Vehicle by 2030 Nepali Year 2086/87 2085/86 2084/85 2083/84 2082/83 2081/82 2080/81 2079/80 2078/79 2077/78 2076/77 2075/76 2074/75 2073/74 2072/73 2071/72 2070/71 2069/70 2068/69 2067/68 2066/67 2065/66 2064/65 2063/64 2062/63 2061/62 2060/61 2059/60 2058/59 2057/58 2056/57 2055/56 2054/55 2053/54 2052/53 2051/52 2050/51 2049/50 2048/49 2047/48 2046/47 English Year- Total Total Cars Petrol Cars- Diesel Cars- Total till Fiscal Year- Forecasting for Total Numbers of Cars by- y = 723.74x - 14000 Numbers of Vehicles Registered 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Fiscal Year 2012 rs by 2030 - 2014 2016 2018 2020 Total Number of Existing Registered Vehicles in Kathmandu in 2018 Putting survival rates and 90% of car jeep categories registered in Bagmati are used in Kathmandu Valley Nepali Year 2074/75 2073/74 2072/73 2071/72 2070/71 2069/70 2068/69 2067/68 2066/67 2065/66 2064/65 2063/64 2062/63 2061/62 2060/61 2059/60 2058/59 2057/58 2056/57 2055/56 2054/55 2053/54 2052/53 2051/52 2050/51 2049/50 2048/49 2047/48 2046/47 English Year 2017/18 2016/17 2015/16 2014/15 2013/14 2012/13 2011/12 2010/11 2009/10 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 2005/06 2004/05 2003/04 2002/03 2001/02 2000/01 1999/00 1998/99 1997/98 1996/97 1995/96 1994/95 1993/94 1992/93 1991/92 1990/91 1989/90 Total Petrol Cars- athmandu in 2018 ti are used in Kathmandu Valley Diesel Cars- Age- Survival Rates Petrol Car 100.0% 100.0% 99.9% 99.5% 98.7% 96.9% 93.8% 88.7% 81.2% 70.9% 58.2% 44.0% 29.9% 17.8% 9.0% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Survival Rate 100.0% Survival Percentage Diesel Car/SUV 100.0% 100.0% 99.9% 99.7% 99.1% 97.9% 95.7% 92.1% 86.6% 78.9% 68.8% 56.7% 43.4% 30.4% 18.9% 10.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 80.0% 60.0% 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% 0 5 10 15 20 Age Petrol Car Diesel Car/SUV 25 25 30 Forecasted Total Number of Vehicles by 2020 Nepali Year 2076/77 2075/76 2074/75 2073/74 2072/73 2071/72 2070/71 2069/70 2068/69 2067/68 2066/67 2065/66 2064/65 2063/64 2062/63 2061/62 2060/61 2059/60 2058/59 2057/58 2056/57 2055/56 2054/55 2053/54 2052/53 2051/52 2050/51 2049/50 2048/49 2047/48 2046/47 English Year 2019/20 2018/19 2017/18 2016/17 2015/16 2014/15 2013/14 2012/13 2011/12 2010/11 2009/10 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 2005/06 2004/05 2003/04 2002/03 2001/02 2000/01 1999/00 1998/99 1997/98 1996/97 1995/96 1994/95 1993/94 1992/93 1991/92 1990/91 1989/90 Total Petrol Cars- Diesel Cars- Age- Vehicles Existing of Registered in- -2000 Fiscal Year Petrol Cars Diesel Cars Survival Rate 1.20 Survival Fraction Number of Vehicles Survival Rates Petrol Car Diesel Car/SUV- - 5 10 15 20 Age Petrol Car Diesel Car/SUV 25 30 EV by 2020 Description Petrol Cars Number of Vehicles to be added from 2018 to 2020 Diesel Cars 18032 Total 6172 Electric Power Requirement for EV added in Future % of EV Added 10 % EV 20 % EV 30 % EV 40 % EV 50 % EV Total Number Power Required (GWh- 4 8 11 15 12102 19 24204 Bajracharya and Bajracharya (2016): Survey in 2012 Vehicle Type Average Annual VKT in KTM Bus 44150 Minibus 43307 LDVs Private(Car/Jeeps/Vans) 12310 Pubic(taxi) 25356 Microbus 38520 Average annual vehicle kilometer travel in the KTM valley Vehicle Models Hyundai Kona Hyundai IONIQ Mahindra e20 Mahindra e20 plus Mahindra e-Supro (Van) Mahindra Reva1 Mahindra E-verito KIA Soul KIA Niro Peugeot Partner tepee BYD E6 Toyata BYVIN Total Total Number- Sepcifications of Electric Vehicles Operating in Nepal Battery Capacity (kWh) Charger Capacity ((kW) Charging Time - - 6 hrs 10 min 5 hrs 5 hrs 7 hrs 20 min 8 hrs 30 min 8 hrs 8 hrs 30 min 9 hrs 6hrs 30 min 6 hrs 45 min 8 hrs 30 min 4.69 Source: Official website of respective vehicles manufacturer Range (km- Fuel Efficiency (kWh/km- Forecasted Total Number of Vehicles by 2025 Nepali Year 2081/82 2080/81 2079/80 2078/79 2077/78 2076/77 2075/76 2074/75 2073/74 2072/73 2071/72 2070/71 2069/70 2068/69 2067/68 2066/67 2065/66 2064/65 2063/64 2062/63 2061/62 2060/61 2059/60 2058/59 2057/58 2056/57 2055/56 2054/55 2053/54 2052/53 2051/52 2050/51 2049/50 2048/49 2047/48 2046/47 English Year 2024/25 2023/24 2022/23 2021/22 2020/21 2019/20 2018/19 2017/18 2016/17 2015/16 2014/15 2013/14 2012/13 2011/12 2010/11 2009/10 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 2005/06 2004/05 2003/04 2002/03 2001/02 2000/01 1999/00 1998/99 1997/98 1996/97 1995/96 1994/95 1993/94 1992/93 1991/92 1990/91 1989/90 Total Petrol Cars- Diesel Cars- Age- Survival Rates Petrol Car- Survival Rates Diesel Car/SUV- EV by 2025 Description Number of Vehicles to be added from 2018 to 20205 Petrol Cars Diesel Cars 70584 24267 Electric Power Requirement for EV added in Future Description 10 % EV 20 % EV 30 % EV 40 % EV 50 % EV Total NumberPower Required (GWh- - Total 94851 Bajracharya and Bajracharya (2016): Survey in 2012 Vehicle Type Average Annual VKT in KTM Bus 44150 Minibus 43307 LDVs Private(Car/Jeeps/Vans) 12310 Pubic(taxi) 25356 Microbus 38520 Average annual vehicle kilometer travel in the KTM valley Sepcifications of Electric Vehicles Operating in Nepal Vehicle Models Total Number Hyundai Kona Hyundai IONIQ Mahindra e20 Mahindra e20 plus Mahindra e-Supro (Van) Mahindra Reva1 Mahindra E-verito KIA Soul KIA Niro Peugeot Partner tepee MUV BYD E6 Toyata BYVIN Total Battery Capacity - Source: Official website of respective vehicles manufactur ctric Vehicles Operating in Nepal Charging Time Charger Capacity 6 hrs 10 min 5 hrs 5 hrs 7 hrs 20 min 8 hrs 30 min 8 hrs 8 hrs 30 min 9 hrs 6hrs 30 min 6 hrs 45 min 8 hrs 30 min of respective vehicles manufacturer Fuel Efficiency Range (km) (kWh/km- - Forecasted Total Number of Vehicles by 2030 Nepali Year 2086/87 2085/86 2084/85 2083/84 2082/83 2081/82 2080/81 2079/80 2078/79 2077/78 2076/77 2075/76 2074/75 2073/74 2072/73 2071/72 2070/71 2069/70 2068/69 2067/68 2066/67 2065/66 2064/65 2063/64 2062/63 2061/62 2060/61 2059/60 2058/59 2057/58 2056/57 2055/56 2054/55 2053/54 2052/53 2051/52 2050/51 2049/50 2048/49 2047/48 2046/47 English Year 2029/30 2028/29 2027/28 2026/27 2025/26 2024/25 2023/24 2022/23 2021/22 2020/21 2019/20 2018/19 2017/18 2016/17 2015/16 2014/15 2013/14 2012/13 2011/12 2010/11 2009/10 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 2005/06 2004/05 2003/04 2002/03 2001/02 2000/01 1999/00 1998/99 1997/98 1996/97 1995/96 1994/95 1993/94 1992/93 1991/92 1990/91 1989/90 Total Petrol Cars- Diesel Cars- Age- Survival Rates Petrol Car- Survival Rates Diesel Car/SUV- EV by 2030 Description Number of Vehicles to be added from 2018 to 2030 Petrol Cars Diesel Cars 121263 42939 Electric Power Requirement for EV added in Future per Year Description 10 % EV 20 % EV 30 % EV 40 % EV 50 % EV Total Number Power Required (GWh- Total 164203 Bajracharya and Bajracharya (2016): Survey in 2012 Vehicle Type Average Annual VKT in KTM Private(Car/Jeeps/Vans) 12310 Average annual vehicle kilometer travel in the KTM valley Sepcifications of Electric Vehicles Operating in N Vehicle Models Hyundai Kona Hyundai IONIQ Mahindra e20 Mahindra e20 plus Mahindra e-Supro (Van) Mahindra Reva1 Mahindra E-verito KIA Soul KIA Niro Peugeot Partner tepee MUV BYD E6 Toyata BYVIN Total Total Number - Source: Official website of respective vehicles manu ns of Electric Vehicles Operating in Nepal Battery Capacity (kWh- Charging Time 6 hrs 10 min 5 hrs 5 hrs 7 hrs 20 min 8 hrs 30 min 8 hrs 8 hrs 30 min 9 hrs 6hrs 30 min 6 hrs 45 min 8 hrs 30 min Range (km- Fuel Efficiency (kWh/km- website of respective vehicles manufacturer